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2024-12-13 13:31:48

On December 4, the price of pig food was 7.74, up 0.52% from November 27. According to the data of the National Development and Reform Commission, as of December 4, the price of live pigs nationwide was 16.72 yuan/kg, down 1.30% from November 27. The price of corn in the main wholesale market is 2.16 yuan/kg, down 1.82% from November 27; The price of pig food was 7.74, up 0.52% from November 27th.Treasury bond futures opened, with 30-year main contracts rising by 0.48%, 10-year main contracts rising by 0.36%, 5-year main contracts rising by 0.25% and 2-year main contracts rising by 0.05%.Hong Kong stock Jingtai Holdings plunged nearly 15%, and the company's 1.464 million restricted shares are expected to circulate freely from today.


The T-shaped overpass with the longest and heaviest single span in China successfully turned and crossed Panxi Railway. According to The Paper, on the afternoon of December 11th, after 82 minutes of continuous construction, the T-shaped overpass with the longest and heaviest single span in China turned 52 degrees clockwise from Panxi Railway Vehicle Turning Station to Yangweishao Station under the jurisdiction of Kunming Bureau of China Railway, realizing a "gorgeous turn" and successfully completed the turn across Panxi Railway.The Nikkei 225 index fell to 1%.Industrial Securities: The valuation of insurance stocks is in a relatively reasonable position. The Industrial Securities Research Report pointed out that we should continue to be optimistic about the insurance sector and focus on the targets with better performance stability and stronger dividend insurance sales ability. At present, the valuation of insurance stocks is in a relatively reasonable position, but as a strong beta plate, if the equity market further picks up, it may also perform well. There are three catalytic points for the further opening of the subsequent valuation space: first, the long-term interest rate and the performance of the equity market; Second, the adjustment and optimization process of the asset structure of insurance enterprises; The third is the sales situation of dividend insurance. In particular, dividend insurance sales may exceed expectations, and if verified, it will become an important support for opening up the repair space of insurance valuation. Suggested attention: China Ping An, China Pacific Insurance, New China Life Insurance, etc.


The three major stock indexes opened lower, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.54%, the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.74% and the Growth Enterprise Market down 0.87%.Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.Domestic insurance in Hong Kong stocks and Chinese brokerage stocks fluctuated lower, while domestic insurance in Hong Kong stocks and Chinese brokerage stocks fluctuated lower. Guolian Securities fell more than 5%, followed by New China Life Insurance, China Pacific Insurance, China Life Insurance, China Merchants Securities and china galaxy.

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